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AFC Wimbledon v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Sat 31 Jan, 12:30 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bolton Wanderers to win 47%
AFC Wimbledon 26% Draw 27% Bolton 47%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.14 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games L W L L D
0–1 v EXE 3–1 at LEY 0–2 at WYC 0–1 v DNR 1–1 at RTU
Bolton Wanderers All games L W D W W
1–3 at PTU 1–0 at WIG 0–0 at STV 2–1 v LEY 2–1 v BRA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 1 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawBolton
Betfair 4.50 3.25 1.83
WilliamHill 3.90 3.30 1.91
bet365 3.80 3.50 1.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Saturday 31 January, and Bolton Wanderers won 0–1 away from home.

AFC Wimbledon are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Rotherham United.

Bolton Wanderers are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Burton Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.50 for AFC Wimbledon, 3.50 for the draw and 1.91 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 51% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.14. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.