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Barnsley v Stevenage prediction

Sat 31 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Barnsley to win 39%
Barnsley 39% Draw 28% Stevenage 33%
Best price2.50 bet365 Fair price2.56 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnsley to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnsley All games L D W D L
0–2 v LNC 1–1 at WIG 2–1 v BLK 2–2 at RDG 0–4 at CDF
Stevenage All games L L D D W
1–2 at LUT 0–3 at EXE 0–0 v BOL 1–1 v MAN 1–0 v PTU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Barnsley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Stevenage's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnsleyDrawStevenage
bet365 2.50 3.25 2.75
WilliamHill 2.40 3.10 2.75
Betfair 2.40 3.20 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnsley v Stevenage: prediction and result

Barnsley hosted Stevenage in the League One on Saturday 31 January and won 3–1.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat away at Cardiff City.

Stevenage are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Peterborough United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Barnsley, 3.25 for the draw and 2.80 for Stevenage. The bookmakers see little between Barnsley and Stevenage here.

Our prediction: Barnsley to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.50 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.56. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

More League One predictions

All League One picks that week →
2–1 FT Bolton Wanderers v Burton Albion Bolton Wanderers to win 63% 4–0 FT Cardiff City v Barnsley Cardiff City to win 57% 2–0 FT Wycombe Wanderers v Wigan Athletic Wycombe Wanderers to win 49% 3–0 FT Lincoln City v Bradford City Lincoln City to win 48% 1–0 FT Huddersfield Town v Luton Town Huddersfield Town to win 48% 2–1 FT Rotherham United v Northampton Town Rotherham United to win 45% 1–1 FT Plymouth Argyle v Mansfield Town Plymouth Argyle to win 44% 1–0 FT Stevenage v Peterborough United Stevenage to win 43%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.