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Burton Albion v Cardiff City prediction

Sat 31 Jan, 15:00 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Cardiff City to win 50%
Burton 25% Draw 25% Cardiff 50%
Best price1.80 bet365 Fair price1.99 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burton Albion All games L L W L L
0–2 at RDG 0–3 at PLA 3–1 v HDD 1–2 at LNC 1–2 at BOL
Cardiff City All games W D W D W
1–0 v WIG 1–1 at LEY 2–1 at BDC 1–1 v STO 4–0 v BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 2 of Burton Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Cardiff City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurtonDrawCardiff
Betfair 4.20 3.70 1.75
bet365 4.10 3.60 1.80
WilliamHill 4.00 3.60 1.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burton Albion v Cardiff City: prediction and result

Burton Albion hosted Cardiff City in the League One on Saturday 31 January, and it finished 2–2.

Burton Albion are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Bolton Wanderers.

Cardiff City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 4–0 win at home to Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.20 for Burton, 3.70 for the draw and 1.80 for Cardiff. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 1.80 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.99. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.