Wigan Athletic v Lincoln City prediction

Wigan Athletic hosted Lincoln City in the League One on Saturday 31 January, and Lincoln City won 0–1 away from home.

Wigan Athletic are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Wycombe Wanderers.

Lincoln City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Bradford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.50 for Wigan, 3.20 for the draw and 2.20 for Lincoln. The bookmakers make Lincoln City favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Lincoln City to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.20 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.38. The pick won.

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