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Port Vale v AFC Wimbledon prediction

Tue 3 Feb, 19:00 League One Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Port Vale to win 41%
Port Vale 41% Draw 29% AFC Wimbledon 30%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.42 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePort Vale to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Port Vale All games L W L L W
0–1 at BDC 5–1 v BLK 0–3 at MAN 1–3 v EXE 1–0 at LEY
AFC Wimbledon All games W L L D L
3–1 at LEY 0–2 at WYC 0–1 v DNR 1–1 at RTU 0–1 v BOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Port Vale's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPort ValeDrawAFC Wimbledon
WilliamHill 2.25 2.90 3.30
bet365 2.25 3.00 3.30
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Port Vale v AFC Wimbledon: prediction and result

Port Vale hosted AFC Wimbledon in the League One on Tuesday 3 February, and AFC Wimbledon won 0–1 away from home.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Leyton Orient.

AFC Wimbledon are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Bolton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Port Vale, 3.00 for the draw and 3.30 for AFC Wimbledon. The bookmakers make Port Vale favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Port Vale to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.42. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.