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Derby County v Ipswich Town prediction

Sat 7 Feb, 12:31 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Ipswich Town to win 47%
Derby 26% Draw 27% Ipswich 47%
Best price1.95 bet365 Fair price2.11 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceIpswich Town to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games L W W D W
1–2 v WXH 1–0 at PNE 2–1 at CHA 1–1 v WBA 5–0 at BSC
Ipswich Town All games W W W L D
2–1 v OXF 3–0 v BBR 2–0 v BSC 1–3 at SHU 1–1 v PNE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 5 of Derby County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Ipswich Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawIpswich
Betfair 4.00 3.25 1.91
WilliamHill 3.80 3.40 1.91
bet365 3.75 3.50 1.95
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v Ipswich Town: prediction and result

Derby County hosted Ipswich Town in the Championship on Saturday 7 February, and Ipswich Town won 1–2 away from home.

Derby County are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 5–0 win away at Bristol City.

Ipswich Town are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Preston North End.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.00 for Derby, 3.50 for the draw and 1.95 for Ipswich. The bookmakers make Ipswich Town favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Ipswich Town to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.95 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.11. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.