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Southampton v Watford prediction

Sat 7 Feb, 12:31 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Southampton to win 49%
Southampton 49% Draw 27% Watford 25%
Best price2.00 Betfair Fair price2.06 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games L L W D W
0–4 at MID 1–2 v HUL 1–0 v SHU 1–1 at PTM 2–0 at STK
Watford All games L D D L D
0–2 v MLW 1–1 v PTM 1–1 at BBR 0–2 v SWA 0–0 at HUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 4 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Watford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawWatford
Betfair 2.00 3.25 3.75
WilliamHill 1.95 3.30 3.75
bet365 1.90 3.70 3.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Watford: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Watford in the Championship on Saturday 7 February and won 1–0.

Southampton are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Stoke City.

Watford are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Hull City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Southampton, 3.70 for the draw and 3.75 for Watford. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 2.00 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.06. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.