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Millwall v Birmingham City prediction

Wed 25 Feb, 19:45 Championship Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Birmingham City to win 37%
Millwall 34% Draw 28% Birmingham 37%
Best price2.63 Betfair Fair price2.67 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Millwall All games W D W W L
4–0 v CHA 1–1 v SHU 2–0 at WXH 2–1 at SHF 1–3 v PTM
Birmingham City All games D W W D W
1–1 v STK 2–0 at OXF 2–1 v LEI 0–0 v WBA 2–1 at NOR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 4 of Millwall's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Birmingham City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMillwallDrawBirmingham
bet365 2.70 3.30 2.60
Betfair 2.63 3.10 2.63
WilliamHill 2.62 3.10 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Millwall v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Millwall hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Wednesday 25 February and won 3–0.

Millwall are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Portsmouth.

Birmingham City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Norwich City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Millwall, 3.30 for the draw and 2.63 for Birmingham. The bookmakers see little between Birmingham City and Millwall here.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.63 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.67. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.