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Stoke City v Oxford United prediction

Wed 25 Feb, 20:00 Championship Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Stoke City to win 48%
Stoke 48% Draw 28% Oxford 25%
Best price1.90 bet365 Fair price2.10 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStoke City to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stoke City All games D L D L D
1–1 at BRC 0–2 v SOU 0–0 at WBA 0–1 at CHA 2–2 v LEI
Oxford United All games L L D L D
0–2 v BRC 1–3 at SHU 0–0 at CVC 0–3 v NOR 0–0 at MID

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Stoke City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Oxford United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStokeDrawOxford
bet365 1.90 3.50 4.00
WilliamHill 1.85 3.30 4.00
Betfair 1.85 3.40 4.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stoke City v Oxford United: prediction and result

Stoke City hosted Oxford United in the Championship on Wednesday 25 February and won 2–1.

Stoke City are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Leicester City.

Oxford United are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Middlesbrough.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.90 for Stoke, 3.50 for the draw and 4.00 for Oxford. The bookmakers make Stoke City favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stoke City to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.90 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.10. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.