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Bristol City v Watford prediction

Fri 27 Feb, 20:00 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bristol City to win 39%
Bristol 39% Draw 28% Watford 33%
Best price4.20 Betfair Fair price2.56 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol City to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol City All games L W D L W
0–5 v DRB 3–2 at HUL 2–2 v WXH 0–1 at SWA 2–1 at BBR
Watford All games D L D W L
0–0 at HUL 0–1 at SOU 2–2 at PNE 2–0 v DRB 0–2 v IPS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 1 of Bristol City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Watford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawWatford
Betfair 4.20 3.50 1.80
WilliamHill 2.38 3.25 2.90
bet365 2.37 3.40 2.87
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol City v Watford: prediction and result

Bristol City hosted Watford in the Championship on Friday 27 February, and Watford won 1–2 away from home.

Bristol City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Blackburn Rovers.

Watford are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Ipswich Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.20 for Bristol, 3.50 for the draw and 2.90 for Watford. The bookmakers make Watford favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bristol City to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 4.20 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.56, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Middlesbrough v Leicester City Middlesbrough to win 62% 1–1 FT Swansea City v Preston North End Swansea City to win 54% 1–1 FT West Bromwich Albion v Charlton Athletic West Bromwich Albion to win 48% 2–1 FT Wrexham v Portsmouth Wrexham to win 46% 1–2 FT Blackburn Rovers v Bristol City Blackburn Rovers to win 41% 4–2 FT Hull City v Derby County Hull City to win 38% 0–2 FT Watford v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 38% 5–0 FT Southampton v Queens Park Rangers Southampton to win 53%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.