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Barnet v Chesterfield prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Barnet to win 45%
Barnet 45% Draw 27% Chesterfield 29%
Best price2.20 Betfair Fair price2.25 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnet to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnet All games W D L L W
3–1 at WSL 0–0 v CTT 1–2 v SWI 1–4 at CLU 1–0 at ACC
Chesterfield All games D W D W D
2–2 v WSL 3–2 at BRR 1–1 v HAT 1–0 v GLG 1–1 at CRT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 4 of Barnet's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Chesterfield's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnetDrawChesterfield
Betfair 2.20 2.88 3.50
WilliamHill 2.00 3.50 3.25
bet365 2.00 3.60 3.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnet v Chesterfield: prediction and result

Barnet hosted Chesterfield in the League Two on Saturday 28 February and won 1–0.

Barnet are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Accrington Stanley.

Chesterfield are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Crawley Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Barnet, 3.60 for the draw and 3.50 for Chesterfield. The bookmakers make Barnet favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnet to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.20 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.25. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

All League Two picks that week →
1–2 FT Salford City v Shrewsbury Town Salford City to win 54% 0–1 FT Accrington Stanley v Barnet Barnet to win 48% 1–1 FT Harrogate Town v Cheltenham Town Harrogate Town to win 36% 1–1 FT Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers Swindon Town to win 51% 1–2 FT Shrewsbury Town v Walsall Shrewsbury Town to win 40% 1–1 FT Cambridge United v Milton Keynes Dons Cambridge United to win 39% 0–0 FT Fleetwood Town v Newport County Fleetwood Town to win 54% 2–1 FT Bromley v Accrington Stanley Bromley to win 52%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.