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Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 12:30 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Swindon Town to win 51%
Swindon 51% Draw 26% Bristol 23%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price1.96 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games W W L W L
3–0 v OAT 2–0 v NPT 1–3 at SHT 2–1 at BNT 1–2 v CAX
Bristol Rovers All games W L L L W
2–0 v WSL 2–3 v CST 1–3 at CMU 0–2 at OAT 3–1 v GBT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Swindon Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Bristol Rovers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawBristol
WilliamHill 1.95 3.30 3.60
Betfair 1.91 3.40 3.80
bet365 1.90 3.50 3.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Bristol Rovers in the League Two on Saturday 28 February, and it finished 1–1.

Swindon Town are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Crewe Alexandra.

Bristol Rovers are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Grimsby Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Swindon, 3.50 for the draw and 3.80 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.96. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.