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Barrow v Gillingham prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Gillingham to win 37%
Barrow 33% Draw 30% Gillingham 37%
Best price2.75 Betfair Fair price2.72 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGillingham to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barrow All games L L W L L
1–2 at NOT 1–2 at SHT 1–0 v CLU 0–1 v HAT 2–3 at FLT
Gillingham All games L W L L L
0–1 at NOT 2–1 v TRR 0–1 at CAX 0–1 at CST 0–3 v OAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 2 of Barrow's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Gillingham's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarrowDrawGillingham
Betfair 3.00 2.63 2.75
WilliamHill 2.70 3.00 2.50
bet365 2.70 3.20 2.55
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barrow v Gillingham: prediction and result

Barrow hosted Gillingham in the League Two on Saturday 28 February, and Gillingham won 0–1 away from home.

Barrow are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat away at Fleetwood Town.

Gillingham are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Oldham Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Barrow, 3.20 for the draw and 2.75 for Gillingham. The bookmakers see little between Gillingham and Barrow here.

Our prediction: Gillingham to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.75 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.72, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.