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Derby County v Blackburn Rovers prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 12:30 Championship Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Derby County to win 40%
Derby 40% Draw 29% Blackburn 31%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.53 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDerby County to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Derby County All games W L W L L
5–0 at BSC 1–2 v IPS 2–0 v SWA 0–2 at WAT 2–4 at HUL
Blackburn Rovers All games W L W W L
1–0 v SHF 0–2 at NOR 3–1 at QPR 1–0 v PNE 1–2 v BSC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 4 of Derby County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Blackburn Rovers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDerbyDrawBlackburn
Betfair 2.38 2.75 3.25
WilliamHill 2.10 3.20 3.50
bet365 2.10 3.30 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Derby County v Blackburn Rovers: prediction and result

Derby County hosted Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on Saturday 28 February and won 3–1.

Derby County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–4 defeat away at Hull City.

Blackburn Rovers are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Bristol City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.38 for Derby, 3.30 for the draw and 3.50 for Blackburn. The bookmakers make Derby County favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Derby County to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.53. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.