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Notts County v Grimsby Town prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Notts County to win 48%
Notts 48% Draw 26% Grimsby 26%
Best price2.10 WilliamHill Fair price2.09 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Notts County All games W W D L W
1–0 v GLG 2–1 v BRW 1–1 at BMY 0–1 at SHT 5–0 v TRR
Grimsby Town All games D D W D L
2–2 v MKD 0–0 at NPT 1–0 v ACC 2–2 v WSL 1–3 at BRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 2 of Notts County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Grimsby Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNottsDrawGrimsby
WilliamHill 2.10 3.25 3.30
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.50
bet365 2.00 3.50 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Notts County v Grimsby Town: prediction and result

Notts County hosted Grimsby Town in the League Two on Saturday 28 February, and Grimsby Town won 0–1 away from home.

Notts County are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 5–0 win at home to Tranmere Rovers.

Grimsby Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Bristol Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Notts, 3.50 for the draw and 3.50 for Grimsby. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 2.10 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.09, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.