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Oldham Athletic v Crawley Town prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Oldham Athletic to win 48%
Oldham 48% Draw 28% Crawley 24%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.07 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceOldham Athletic to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Oldham Athletic All games L L D W W
0–3 v CMU 0–3 at SWI 1–1 v FLT 2–0 v BRR 3–0 at GLG
Crawley Town All games L L L D D
0–1 v CAX 0–3 v CMU 0–2 at TRR 0–0 at MKD 1–1 v CST

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 4 of Oldham Athletic's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Crawley Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerOldhamDrawCrawley
WilliamHill 1.91 3.30 3.80
bet365 1.85 3.50 4.10
Betfair 1.83 3.00 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Oldham Athletic v Crawley Town: prediction and result

Oldham Athletic hosted Crawley Town in the League Two on Saturday 28 February and won 2–0.

Oldham Athletic are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Gillingham.

Crawley Town are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Chesterfield.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.91 for Oldham, 3.50 for the draw and 5.00 for Crawley. The bookmakers make Oldham Athletic favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Oldham Athletic to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.07. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.