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Birmingham City v Middlesbrough prediction

Mon 2 Mar, 20:00 Championship Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Birmingham City to win 40%
Birmingham 40% Draw 26% Middlesbrough 34%
Best price2.70 Betfair Fair price2.51 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBirmingham City to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Birmingham City All games W W D W L
2–0 at OXF 2–1 v LEI 0–0 v WBA 2–1 at NOR 0–3 at MLW
Middlesbrough All games W W L D D
1–0 v NOR 2–1 at SHU 1–3 at CVC 0–0 v OXF 1–1 v LEI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 5 of Birmingham City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Middlesbrough's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBirminghamDrawMiddlesbrough
Betfair 2.70 3.40 2.50
WilliamHill 2.62 3.40 2.45
bet365 2.62 3.60 2.45
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Birmingham City v Middlesbrough: prediction and result

Birmingham City hosted Middlesbrough in the Championship on Monday 2 March, and Middlesbrough won 1–3 away from home.

Birmingham City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Millwall.

Middlesbrough are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Leicester City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Birmingham, 3.60 for the draw and 2.50 for Middlesbrough. The bookmakers see little between Middlesbrough and Birmingham City here.

Our prediction: Birmingham City to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.70 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.51, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

All Championship picks that week →
1–1 FT Middlesbrough v Leicester City Middlesbrough to win 62% 1–1 FT Swansea City v Preston North End Swansea City to win 54% 1–1 FT West Bromwich Albion v Charlton Athletic West Bromwich Albion to win 48% 2–1 FT Wrexham v Portsmouth Wrexham to win 46% 1–2 FT Blackburn Rovers v Bristol City Blackburn Rovers to win 41% 4–2 FT Hull City v Derby County Hull City to win 38% 0–2 FT Watford v Ipswich Town Ipswich Town to win 38% 5–0 FT Southampton v Queens Park Rangers Southampton to win 53%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.