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Bristol Rovers v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bristol Rovers to win 37%
Bristol 37% Draw 27% Crewe 36%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.72 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 31%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol Rovers to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol Rovers All games L L L W D
2–3 v CST 1–3 at CMU 0–2 at OAT 3–1 v GBT 1–1 at SWI
Crewe Alexandra All games W W L W W
1–0 at CRT 1–0 v GLG 0–1 v FLT 2–1 at SWI 2–1 v TRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Bristol Rovers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawCrewe
Betfair 2.38 3.25 2.88
bet365 2.30 3.40 3.00
WilliamHill 2.25 3.20 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol Rovers v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Bristol Rovers hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Saturday 7 March and won 2–1.

Bristol Rovers are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Swindon Town.

Crewe Alexandra are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Tranmere Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.38 for Bristol, 3.40 for the draw and 3.00 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Bristol Rovers favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bristol Rovers to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 31%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.72. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.