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Crawley Town v Swindon Town prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Swindon Town to win 45%
Crawley 29% Draw 26% Swindon 45%
Best price2.10 bet365 Fair price2.21 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crawley Town All games L L D D L
0–3 v CMU 0–2 at TRR 0–0 at MKD 1–1 v CST 0–2 at OAT
Swindon Town All games W L W L D
2–0 v NPT 1–3 at SHT 2–1 at BNT 1–2 v CAX 1–1 v BRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 3 of Crawley Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Swindon Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCrawleyDrawSwindon
Betfair 3.25 3.50 2.00
bet365 3.20 3.60 2.10
WilliamHill 3.20 3.50 2.05
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crawley Town v Swindon Town: prediction and result

Crawley Town hosted Swindon Town in the League Two on Saturday 7 March, and it finished 2–2.

Crawley Town are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Oldham Athletic.

Swindon Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Bristol Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.25 for Crawley, 3.60 for the draw and 2.10 for Swindon. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.10 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.21. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.