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Newport County v Colchester United prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Colchester United to win 47%
Newport 26% Draw 27% Colchester 47%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.14 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newport County All games L W L D W
0–1 at MKD 3–1 at SAL 0–2 v CMU 0–0 at FLT 3–1 v TRR
Colchester United All games L D W L L
0–1 at BRW 1–1 at CMU 4–1 v BNT 0–1 v SAL 0–3 at CST

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 3 of Newport County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Colchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewportDrawColchester
Betfair 4.20 3.60 1.87
bet365 3.90 3.40 1.90
WilliamHill 3.75 3.40 1.91
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newport County v Colchester United: prediction and result

Newport County hosted Colchester United in the League Two on Saturday 7 March, and Colchester United won 1–2 away from home.

Newport County are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Tranmere Rovers.

Colchester United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Chesterfield.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.20 for Newport, 3.60 for the draw and 1.91 for Colchester. The bookmakers make Colchester United favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.14. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

All League Two picks that week →
0–0 FT Bromley v Oldham Athletic Bromley to win 44% 3–0 FT Chesterfield v Colchester United Chesterfield to win 42% 3–1 FT Grimsby Town v Salford City Grimsby Town to win 41% 0–1 FT Walsall v Fleetwood Town Walsall to win 36% 3–1 FT Newport County v Tranmere Rovers Newport County to win 36% 2–2 FT Cheltenham Town v Barrow Cheltenham Town to win 42% 1–1 FT Grimsby Town v Bromley Grimsby Town to win 44% 2–0 FT Salford City v Barnet Barnet to win 37%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.