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Walsall v Notts County prediction

Sat 7 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Notts County to win 41%
Walsall 31% Draw 29% Notts 41%
Best price2.40 WilliamHill Fair price2.45 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Walsall All games L D L W L
1–3 v BNT 2–2 at GBT 0–2 v MKD 2–1 at SHT 0–1 v FLT
Notts County All games W D L W L
2–1 v BRW 1–1 at BMY 0–1 at SHT 5–0 v TRR 0–1 v GBT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 2 of Walsall's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Notts County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWalsallDrawNotts
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.25
bet365 3.00 3.10 2.40
WilliamHill 2.90 3.00 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Walsall v Notts County: prediction and result

Walsall hosted Notts County in the League Two on Saturday 7 March, and Notts County won 1–2 away from home.

Walsall are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Fleetwood Town.

Notts County are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Grimsby Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Walsall, 3.25 for the draw and 2.40 for Notts. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.45. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

All League Two picks that week →
0–0 FT Bromley v Oldham Athletic Bromley to win 44% 3–0 FT Chesterfield v Colchester United Chesterfield to win 42% 3–1 FT Grimsby Town v Salford City Grimsby Town to win 41% 0–1 FT Walsall v Fleetwood Town Walsall to win 36% 3–1 FT Newport County v Tranmere Rovers Newport County to win 36% 2–2 FT Cheltenham Town v Barrow Cheltenham Town to win 42% 1–1 FT Grimsby Town v Bromley Grimsby Town to win 44% 2–0 FT Salford City v Barnet Barnet to win 37%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.