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Barrow v Accrington Stanley prediction

Sat 14 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Barrow to win 40%
Barrow 40% Draw 28% Accrington 32%
Best price2.00 bet365 Fair price2.48 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 31%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarrow to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barrow All games L L L D L
0–1 v HAT 2–3 at FLT 0–1 v GLG 2–2 at CTT 0–2 v BRR
Accrington Stanley All games W L L L D
1–0 at TRR 0–2 v SHT 0–1 v BNT 1–2 at BMY 1–1 v CMU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 1 of Barrow's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarrowDrawAccrington
bet365 2.00 3.40 3.80
WilliamHill 2.00 3.20 3.60
Betfair 2.00 3.25 3.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barrow v Accrington Stanley: prediction and result

Barrow hosted Accrington Stanley in the League Two on Saturday 14 March, and it finished 0–0.

Barrow are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Bristol Rovers.

Accrington Stanley are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Cambridge United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Barrow, 3.40 for the draw and 3.80 for Accrington. The bookmakers make Barrow favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barrow to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 31%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.00 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.48. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.