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Swindon Town v Milton Keynes Dons prediction

Sat 14 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Milton Keynes Dons to win 39%
Swindon 33% Draw 28% Milton Keynes 39%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.54 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games L W L D D
1–3 at SHT 2–1 at BNT 1–2 v CAX 1–1 v BRR 2–2 at CRT
Milton Keynes Dons All games D W D W W
0–0 v CRT 2–0 at WSL 1–1 at CMU 4–1 v HAT 5–1 at GLG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 4 of Swindon Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawMilton Keynes
bet365 3.10 3.25 2.25
WilliamHill 3.00 3.20 2.25
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Milton Keynes Dons in the League Two on Saturday 14 March, and Milton Keynes Dons won 1–2 away from home.

Swindon Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Crawley Town.

Milton Keynes Dons are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 5–1 win away at Gillingham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Swindon, 3.25 for the draw and 2.25 for Milton Keynes. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.54. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.