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Cheltenham Town v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Tue 17 Mar, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Crewe Alexandra to win 39%
Cheltenham 32% Draw 28% Crewe 39%
Best price2.45 Betfair Fair price2.54 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrewe Alexandra to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cheltenham Town All games W D D D W
3–2 v SAL 1–1 at HAT 2–2 v BRW 2–2 at FLT 2–0 at SHT
Crewe Alexandra All games L W W L L
0–1 v FLT 2–1 at SWI 2–1 v TRR 1–2 at BRR 0–3 v WSL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Cheltenham Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCheltenhamDrawCrewe
bet365 3.10 3.10 2.35
Betfair 3.00 3.20 2.45
WilliamHill 2.90 3.00 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cheltenham Town v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Cheltenham Town hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Tuesday 17 March, and it finished 1–1.

Cheltenham Town are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win away at Shrewsbury Town.

Crewe Alexandra are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Walsall.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Cheltenham, 3.20 for the draw and 2.45 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Crewe Alexandra favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.45 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.54. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.