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Accrington Stanley v Chesterfield prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chesterfield to win 49%
Accrington 25% Draw 26% Chesterfield 49%
Best price1.85 WilliamHill Fair price2.04 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Accrington Stanley All games L L D D L
0–1 v BNT 1–2 at BMY 1–1 v CMU 0–0 at BRW 0–4 v NOT
Chesterfield All games L W L W L
0–1 at BNT 3–0 v CLU 2–3 v SHT 3–2 at NOT 0–3 v OAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Chesterfield's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAccringtonDrawChesterfield
bet365 4.10 3.50 1.83
WilliamHill 4.00 3.40 1.85
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Accrington Stanley v Chesterfield: prediction and result

Accrington Stanley hosted Chesterfield in the League Two on Saturday 21 March, and Chesterfield won 0–1 away from home.

Accrington Stanley are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat at home to Notts County.

Chesterfield are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Oldham Athletic.

The best prices across 2 UK bookmakers are 4.10 for Accrington, 3.50 for the draw and 1.85 for Chesterfield. The bookmakers make Chesterfield favourites, at about 51% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.04. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

All League Two picks that week →
0–1 FT Newport County v Bromley Bromley to win 49% 3–1 FT Salford City v Barrow Salford City to win 58% 0–0 FT Walsall v Cambridge United Cambridge United to win 50% 0–4 FT Accrington Stanley v Notts County Notts County to win 47% 1–0 FT Grimsby Town v Fleetwood Town Grimsby Town to win 47% 1–1 FT Crawley Town v Barnet Barnet to win 46% 1–0 FT Bristol Rovers v Shrewsbury Town Bristol Rovers to win 46% 0–3 FT Chesterfield v Oldham Athletic Chesterfield to win 46%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.