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Gillingham v Bristol Rovers prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Gillingham to win 44%
Gillingham 44% Draw 27% Bristol 29%
Best price2.50 WilliamHill Fair price2.28 from our 44%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGillingham to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Gillingham All games W D L L L
1–0 at BRW 1–1 v FLT 1–5 v MKD 0–5 at CMU 0–2 v SWI
Bristol Rovers All games D W W L W
1–1 at SWI 2–1 v CAX 2–0 at BRW 0–1 at BMY 1–0 v SHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 4 of Gillingham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Bristol Rovers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGillinghamDrawBristol
WilliamHill 2.50 3.10 2.70
bet365 2.40 3.10 3.00
Betfair 1.44 4.20 6.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Gillingham v Bristol Rovers: prediction and result

Gillingham hosted Bristol Rovers in the League Two on Saturday 21 March, and Bristol Rovers won 1–2 away from home.

Gillingham are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Swindon Town.

Bristol Rovers are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Shrewsbury Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Gillingham, 4.20 for the draw and 6.50 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Gillingham favourites, at about 51% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Gillingham to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.50 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.28, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.