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Milton Keynes Dons v Barnet prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 12:30 League Two Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Milton Keynes Dons to win 52%
Milton Keynes 52% Draw 26% Barnet 22%
Best price1.90 bet365 Fair price1.93 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 57%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Milton Keynes Dons All games D W W W W
1–1 at CMU 4–1 v HAT 5–1 at GLG 2–1 at SWI 1–0 v CLU
Barnet All games W W L L D
1–0 at ACC 1–0 v CST 0–2 at SAL 1–2 v NPT 1–1 at CRT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Barnet's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMilton KeynesDrawBarnet
bet365 1.90 3.40 4.00
WilliamHill 1.85 3.30 3.80
Betfair 1.29 5.00 10.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Milton Keynes Dons v Barnet: prediction and result

Milton Keynes Dons hosted Barnet in the League Two on Saturday 21 March, and Barnet won 1–3 away from home.

Milton Keynes Dons are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Colchester United.

Barnet are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Crawley Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.90 for Milton Keynes, 5.00 for the draw and 10.00 for Barnet. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 64% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 57% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.90 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.93. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.