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Shrewsbury Town v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Crewe Alexandra to win 49%
Shrewsbury 27% Draw 24% Crewe 49%
Best price2.38 WilliamHill Fair price2.06 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrewe Alexandra to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Shrewsbury Town All games W L W L L
2–1 at SAL 1–2 v WSL 3–2 at CST 0–2 v CTT 0–1 at BRR
Crewe Alexandra All games W W L L D
2–1 at SWI 2–1 v TRR 1–2 at BRR 0–3 v WSL 1–1 at CTT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Shrewsbury Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerShrewsburyDrawCrewe
Betfair 17.00 9.00 1.10
bet365 2.90 3.30 2.30
WilliamHill 2.80 3.20 2.38
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Shrewsbury Town v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Shrewsbury Town hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Saturday 21 March, and Crewe Alexandra won 0–4 away from home.

Shrewsbury Town are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Bristol Rovers.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Cheltenham Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 17.00 for Shrewsbury, 9.00 for the draw and 2.38 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Crewe Alexandra favourites, at about 71% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 2.38 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.06, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.