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Walsall v Newport County prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Walsall to win 51%
Walsall 51% Draw 26% Newport 23%
Best price1.83 Betfair Fair price1.96 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWalsall to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Walsall All games L L L W D
0–1 v FLT 1–2 v NOT 0–1 at SAL 3–0 at CAX 0–0 v CMU
Newport County All games D W L W L
0–0 at FLT 3–1 v TRR 1–2 v CLU 2–1 at BNT 0–1 v BMY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 2 of Walsall's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Newport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWalsallDrawNewport
Betfair 1.83 3.25 4.50
WilliamHill 1.70 3.50 4.60
bet365 1.66 3.70 4.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Walsall v Newport County: prediction and result

Walsall hosted Newport County in the League Two on Saturday 21 March and won 2–1.

Walsall are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Cambridge United.

Newport County are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Bromley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for Walsall, 3.70 for the draw and 4.75 for Newport. The bookmakers make Walsall favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Walsall to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.83 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.96. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

All League Two picks that week →
0–1 FT Newport County v Bromley Bromley to win 49% 3–1 FT Salford City v Barrow Salford City to win 58% 0–0 FT Walsall v Cambridge United Cambridge United to win 50% 0–4 FT Accrington Stanley v Notts County Notts County to win 47% 1–0 FT Grimsby Town v Fleetwood Town Grimsby Town to win 47% 1–1 FT Crawley Town v Barnet Barnet to win 46% 1–0 FT Bristol Rovers v Shrewsbury Town Bristol Rovers to win 46% 0–3 FT Chesterfield v Oldham Athletic Chesterfield to win 46%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.