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Coventry City v Derby County prediction

Fri 3 Apr, 20:00 Championship Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Coventry City to win 58%
Coventry 58% Draw 23% Derby 19%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.72 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 59%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCoventry City to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Coventry City All games W W W L W
2–1 v STK 2–0 at BSC 3–0 v PNE 1–2 v SOU 3–0 at SWA
Derby County All games W W L W W
3–1 v BBR 2–1 v SHF 0–1 at MLW 1–0 at PTM 1–0 v BRC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 4 of Coventry City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Derby County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCoventryDrawDerby
WilliamHill 1.62 3.80 5.00
Betfair 1.62 4.00 5.00
bet365 1.61 4.00 5.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Coventry City v Derby County: prediction and result

Coventry City hosted Derby County in the Championship on Friday 3 April and won 3–2.

Coventry City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Swansea City.

Derby County are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Birmingham City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.62 for Coventry, 4.00 for the draw and 5.25 for Derby. The bookmakers make Coventry City favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Coventry City to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 59%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.72. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.