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Millwall v Norwich City prediction

Mon 6 Apr, 13:00 Championship Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Millwall to win 42%
Millwall 42% Draw 27% Norwich 31%
Best price2.20 bet365 Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMillwall to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Millwall All games W W L D W
3–1 at HUL 1–0 v DRB 1–2 v BBR 1–1 at IPS 2–1 at MID
Norwich City All games W W L W D
2–1 v SHU 2–0 v PNE 0–1 at SOU 1–0 at CHA 1–1 v PTM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 3 of Millwall's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Norwich City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMillwallDrawNorwich
bet365 2.20 3.25 3.30
WilliamHill 2.10 3.25 3.30
Betfair 2.05 3.30 3.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Millwall v Norwich City: prediction and result

Millwall hosted Norwich City in the Championship on Monday 6 April, and Norwich City won 1–2 away from home.

Millwall are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Middlesbrough.

Norwich City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Portsmouth.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Millwall, 3.30 for the draw and 3.30 for Norwich. The bookmakers make Millwall favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Millwall to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.20 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.37. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.