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Portsmouth v Oxford United prediction

Mon 6 Apr, 12:30 Championship Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Portsmouth to win 48%
Portsmouth 48% Draw 28% Oxford 24%
Best price1.95 bet365 Fair price2.08 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePortsmouth to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Portsmouth All games D L L L D
1–1 at BBR 1–2 v SWA 0–1 v DRB 1–6 at QPR 1–1 at NOR
Oxford United All games W W D L D
3–1 at PNE 1–0 v BBR 1–1 v CHA 0–2 at SOU 1–1 v HUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 2 of Portsmouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Oxford United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPortsmouthDrawOxford
bet365 1.95 3.25 4.00
WilliamHill 1.95 3.10 4.00
Betfair 1.91 3.20 4.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Portsmouth v Oxford United: prediction and result

Portsmouth hosted Oxford United in the Championship on Monday 6 April, and it finished 2–2.

Portsmouth are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Norwich City.

Oxford United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Hull City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Portsmouth, 3.25 for the draw and 4.10 for Oxford. The bookmakers make Portsmouth favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Portsmouth to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.95 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.08. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.