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Swansea City v Middlesbrough prediction

Mon 6 Apr, 17:30 Championship Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Middlesbrough to win 46%
Swansea 28% Draw 26% Middlesbrough 46%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.18 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swansea City All games W W L L D
2–0 v STK 2–1 at PTM 0–2 at WXH 0–3 v CVC 3–3 at SHU
Middlesbrough All games W L D D L
4–0 at QPR 0–1 v CHA 1–1 v BSC 0–0 at BBR 1–2 v MLW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 2 of Swansea City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Middlesbrough's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwanseaDrawMiddlesbrough
bet365 3.80 3.75 1.85
Betfair 3.75 3.40 1.91
WilliamHill 3.70 3.50 1.91
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swansea City v Middlesbrough: prediction and result

Swansea City hosted Middlesbrough in the Championship on Monday 6 April, and it finished 2–2.

Swansea City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 3–3 draw away at Sheffield United.

Middlesbrough are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Millwall.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.80 for Swansea, 3.75 for the draw and 1.91 for Middlesbrough. The bookmakers make Middlesbrough favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.18. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.