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Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Accrington Stanley to win 40%
Accrington 40% Draw 26% Crawley 34%
Best price2.90 WilliamHill Fair price2.51 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAccrington Stanley to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Accrington Stanley All games W L L L D
2–0 v CAX 0–2 at GLG 1–2 v FLT 1–2 at CLU 2–2 at SWI
Crawley Town All games W W L L D
2–0 v GLG 2–0 at NPT 0–2 v GBT 1–3 at BRR 0–0 v SHT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Crawley Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAccringtonDrawCrawley
WilliamHill 2.90 3.20 2.30
bet365 2.80 3.30 2.40
Betfair 1.57 3.75 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Accrington Stanley v Crawley Town: prediction and result

Accrington Stanley hosted Crawley Town in the League Two on Saturday 25 April, and it finished 3–3.

Accrington Stanley are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Swindon Town.

Crawley Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Shrewsbury Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Accrington, 3.75 for the draw and 6.00 for Crawley. The bookmakers make Accrington Stanley favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Accrington Stanley to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.90 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.51, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.