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Grimsby Town v Swindon Town prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 12:30 League Two Full time 4–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Grimsby Town to win 59%
Grimsby 59% Draw 21% Swindon 20%
Best price1.70 WilliamHill Fair price1.69 from our 59%

How we got to 59%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 66%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGrimsby Town to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Grimsby Town All games W W L W W
2–0 at CRT 3–2 v CAX 1–2 at CST 4–1 at GLG 2–1 at CMU
Swindon Town All games D D W L D
1–1 v FLT 1–1 at CMU 2–1 v WSL 0–3 at CLU 2–2 v ACC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 4 of Grimsby Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Swindon Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGrimsbyDrawSwindon
WilliamHill 1.70 3.75 4.33
bet365 1.70 3.80 4.33
Betfair 1.05 13.00 34.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Grimsby Town v Swindon Town: prediction and result

Grimsby Town hosted Swindon Town in the League Two on Saturday 25 April and won 4–0.

Grimsby Town are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Cambridge United.

Swindon Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Accrington Stanley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.70 for Grimsby, 13.00 for the draw and 34.00 for Swindon. The bookmakers make Grimsby Town favourites, at about 85% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Grimsby Town to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 66% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.70 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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1–2 FT Cambridge United v Grimsby Town Cambridge United to win 49% 1–3 FT Cheltenham Town v Tranmere Rovers Cheltenham Town to win 40% 2–0 FT Salford City v Bromley Salford City to win 49% 3–0 FT Milton Keynes Dons v Tranmere Rovers Milton Keynes Dons to win 69% 3–0 FT Cambridge United v Barrow Cambridge United to win 71% 6–2 FT Barnet v Gillingham Barnet to win 62% 4–0 FT Bristol Rovers v Cheltenham Town Bristol Rovers to win 57% 2–0 FT Chesterfield v Crewe Alexandra Chesterfield to win 54%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.