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Chesterfield v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chesterfield to win 54%
Chesterfield 54% Draw 25% Crewe 21%
Best price1.67 Betfair Fair price1.86 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chesterfield All games W W D W D
1–0 v CTT 1–0 at BRW 1–1 v TRR 2–1 v GBT 1–1 at FLT
Crewe Alexandra All games W L W L L
2–1 v OAT 0–2 at ACC 1–0 v SAL 2–3 at GBT 1–3 v MKD

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Chesterfield's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChesterfieldDrawCrewe
Betfair 1.67 3.25 5.50
WilliamHill 1.55 4.00 5.00
bet365 1.53 4.33 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chesterfield v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Chesterfield hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Saturday 25 April and won 2–0.

Chesterfield are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Fleetwood Town.

Crewe Alexandra are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Milton Keynes Dons.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.67 for Chesterfield, 4.33 for the draw and 5.50 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Chesterfield favourites, at about 59% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.67 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.86. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.