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Colchester United v Notts County prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Colchester United to win 38%
Colchester 38% Draw 27% Notts 35%
Best price3.25 Betfair Fair price2.62 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 31%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Colchester United All games L W W W L
1–3 v OAT 1–0 at TRR 3–0 v SWI 2–1 v ACC 0–1 at HAT
Notts County All games W L W L L
2–0 at HAT 1–2 at SAL 3–1 v NPT 0–4 at CMU 1–2 v BNT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Colchester United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Notts County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerColchesterDrawNotts
Betfair 3.25 2.75 2.38
WilliamHill 2.80 3.30 2.30
bet365 2.80 3.50 2.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Colchester United v Notts County: prediction and result

Colchester United hosted Notts County in the League Two on Saturday 25 April, and Notts County won 0–1 away from home.

Colchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Harrogate Town.

Notts County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Barnet.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.25 for Colchester, 3.50 for the draw and 2.38 for Notts. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 31% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 3.25 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.62, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.