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Newport County v Oldham Athletic prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Oldham Athletic to win 39%
Newport 34% Draw 27% Oldham 39%
Best price2.88 WilliamHill Fair price2.59 from our 39%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 33%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceOldham Athletic to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newport County All games W L L W L
1–0 v SHT 0–2 v CRT 1–3 at NOT 2–1 v HAT 0–1 at CTT
Oldham Athletic All games W D L L L
3–1 at CLU 1–1 v MKD 0–1 at SHT 2–3 at BRW 1–2 v SAL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Newport County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Oldham Athletic's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewportDrawOldham
WilliamHill 2.40 3.10 2.88
bet365 2.40 3.50 2.70
Betfair 2.38 3.25 2.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newport County v Oldham Athletic: prediction and result

Newport County hosted Oldham Athletic in the League Two on Saturday 25 April and won 3–2.

Newport County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Cheltenham Town.

Oldham Athletic are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Salford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Newport, 3.50 for the draw and 2.88 for Oldham. The bookmakers make Newport County favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Oldham Athletic to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 33% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.88 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.59, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.