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Chesterfield v Notts County prediction

Sun 10 May, 18:00 League Two Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chesterfield to win 46%
Chesterfield 45% Draw 28% Notts 26%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.20 from our 46%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chesterfield All games D W D W W
1–1 v TRR 2–1 v GBT 1–1 at FLT 2–0 v CAX 2–1 at SWI
Notts County All games W L L W D
3–1 v NPT 0–4 at CMU 1–2 v BNT 1–0 at CLU 1–1 v BRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Chesterfield's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Notts County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChesterfieldDrawNotts
WilliamHill 2.20 3.00 3.30
Betfair 2.15 3.10 3.40
bet365 2.15 3.20 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chesterfield v Notts County: prediction and result

Chesterfield hosted Notts County in the League Two on Sunday 10 May, and Notts County won 0–1 away from home.

Chesterfield are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Swindon Town.

Notts County are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Bristol Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.20 for Chesterfield, 3.20 for the draw and 3.40 for Notts. The bookmakers make Chesterfield favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.20, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.