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Grimsby Town v Salford City prediction

Sun 10 May, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Grimsby Town to win 44%
Grimsby 44% Draw 27% Salford 29%
Best price2.35 bet365 Fair price2.26 from our 44%

How we got to 44%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGrimsby Town to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Grimsby Town All games L W W W D
1–2 at CST 4–1 at GLG 2–1 at CMU 4–0 v SWI 1–1 at TRR
Salford City All games L D W W D
0–1 at CAX 0–0 v GLG 2–1 at OAT 2–0 v BMY 0–0 at CRT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Grimsby Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Salford City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGrimsbyDrawSalford
bet365 2.35 3.10 3.10
WilliamHill 2.30 3.10 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.10 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Grimsby Town v Salford City: prediction and result

Grimsby Town hosted Salford City in the League Two on Sunday 10 May, and Salford City won 1–2 away from home.

Grimsby Town are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Tranmere Rovers.

Salford City are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Crawley Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.35 for Grimsby, 3.10 for the draw and 3.10 for Salford. The bookmakers make Grimsby Town favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Grimsby Town to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 2.35 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.26, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.