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Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle United prediction

Sat 18 Oct, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Newcastle United to win 39%
Brighton 33% Draw 28% Newcastle 39%
Best price2.45 bet365 Fair price2.57 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 39%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brighton & Hove Albion All games D
1–1 at WOL
Newcastle United All games W
2–0 v NFO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55%

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrightonDrawNewcastle
Betfair 2.88 3.25 2.38
Marathonbet 2.86 3.65 2.42
WilliamHill 2.80 3.40 2.40
Ladbrokes 2.80 3.40 2.40
bet365 2.80 3.40 2.45
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Brighton & Hove Albion hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Saturday 18 October and won 2–1.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in mixed form: 0 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 1 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Newcastle United are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 2 and conceded 0 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Nottingham Forest.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.88 for Brighton, 3.65 for the draw and 2.45 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 39%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.45 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.57. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.