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Burnley v Leeds United prediction

Sat 18 Oct, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Leeds United to win 42%
Burnley 29% Draw 28% Leeds 42%
Best price2.23 Marathonbet Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLeeds United to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games L
1–2 at AVL
Leeds United All games No recent results yet.

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48%

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawLeeds
Marathonbet 3.56 3.25 2.23
WilliamHill 3.40 3.10 2.20
Ladbrokes 3.40 3.20 2.20
bet365 3.40 3.25 2.15
Betfair 3.25 3.00 2.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Leeds United: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Saturday 18 October and won 2–0.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 1, 0 points from a possible 3. They have scored 1 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Aston Villa.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 3.56 for Burnley, 3.25 for the draw and 2.23 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Leeds United favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Leeds United to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.23 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 2.37. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.