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Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa prediction

Sun 19 Oct, 14:00 Premier League Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Tottenham Hotspur to win 43%
Tottenham 43% Draw 26% Aston Villa 31%
Best price2.31 Marathonbet Fair price2.35 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceTottenham Hotspur to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Tottenham Hotspur All games No recent results yet.
Aston Villa All games W
2–1 v BUR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59%

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerTottenhamDrawAston Villa
Marathonbet 2.31 3.40 3.24
WilliamHill 2.25 3.25 3.25
Ladbrokes 2.20 3.30 3.25
bet365 2.15 3.40 3.25
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa: prediction and result

Tottenham Hotspur hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday 19 October, and Aston Villa won 1–2 away from home.

Aston Villa are in strong form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 1, 3 points from a possible 3. They have scored 2 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Burnley.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.31 for Tottenham, 3.40 for the draw and 3.25 for Aston Villa. The bookmakers make Tottenham Hotspur favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.31 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 2.35. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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0–3 FT Nottingham Forest v Chelsea Chelsea to win 43% 2–0 FT Manchester City v Everton Manchester City to win 67% 3–3 FT Crystal Palace v AFC Bournemouth Crystal Palace to win 44% 2–0 FT Sunderland v Wolverhampton Wanderers Sunderland to win 43% 2–0 FT Burnley v Leeds United Leeds United to win 42% 2–1 FT Brighton & Hove Albion v Newcastle United Newcastle United to win 39% 0–1 FT Fulham v Arsenal Arsenal to win 59% 1–2 FT Liverpool v Manchester United Liverpool to win 57%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.