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Crewe Alexandra v Grimsby Town prediction

Sat 25 Oct, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Grimsby Town to win 38%
Crewe 35% Draw 27% Grimsby 38%
Best price2.55 Betfair Fair price2.66 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceGrimsby Town to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crewe Alexandra All games W L L
2–1 at HAT 0–1 v BMY 1–3 at MKD
Grimsby Town All games L W
1–2 v CLU 1–0 v GLG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 0 of Crewe Alexandra's last 1 home games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCreweDrawGrimsby
Ladbrokes 2.80 3.40 2.45
WilliamHill 2.70 3.30 2.50
bet365 2.70 3.20 2.55
Marathonbet 2.62 3.34 2.51
Betfair 2.60 3.00 2.55
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crewe Alexandra v Grimsby Town: prediction and result

Crewe Alexandra hosted Grimsby Town in the League Two on Saturday 25 October and won 3–2.

Crewe Alexandra are in mixed form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 3, 3 points from a possible 9. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Milton Keynes Dons.

Grimsby Town are in decent form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 2, 3 points from a possible 6. They have scored 2 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Gillingham.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.80 for Crewe, 3.40 for the draw and 2.55 for Grimsby. The bookmakers see little between Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra here.

Our prediction: Grimsby Town to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.55 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.66. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.