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Stoke City v Bristol City prediction

Sat 1 Nov, 15:00 Championship Full time 5–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Stoke City to win 38%
Stoke 38% Draw 29% Bristol 33%
Best price2.45 WilliamHill Fair price2.65 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStoke City to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stoke City All games W L W
1–0 v WXH 0–2 at MLW 1–0 at PTM
Bristol City All games W W W
1–0 at NOR 3–1 v SOU 1–0 v BRC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 0 of Stoke City's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Bristol City's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStokeDrawBristol
WilliamHill 2.45 3.10 2.90
Marathonbet 2.39 3.20 2.94
Ladbrokes 2.37 3.30 2.90
bet365 2.37 3.30 2.90
Betfair 2.30 3.00 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stoke City v Bristol City: prediction and result

Stoke City hosted Bristol City in the Championship on Saturday 1 November and won 5–1.

Stoke City are in decent form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 6 points from a possible 9. They have scored 2 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Portsmouth.

Bristol City are in strong form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 3, 9 points from a possible 9. They have scored 5 and conceded 1 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Birmingham City.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for Stoke, 3.30 for the draw and 2.94 for Bristol. The bookmakers make Stoke City favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stoke City to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.45 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.65. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.