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Watford v Middlesbrough prediction

Sat 1 Nov, 15:00 Championship Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Middlesbrough to win 38%
Watford 35% Draw 27% Middlesbrough 38%
Best price2.62 Ladbrokes Fair price2.63 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMiddlesbrough to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Watford All games L W L
0–1 at SHU 2–1 v WBA 1–3 at CVC
Middlesbrough All games W W D
2–1 v IPS 1–0 at SHF 1–1 v WXH

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 1 of Watford's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Middlesbrough's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
Marathonbet 2.65 3.22 2.60
WilliamHill 2.62 3.10 2.62
Ladbrokes 2.60 3.40 2.62
Betfair 2.60 3.00 2.50
bet365 2.55 3.40 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Watford v Middlesbrough: prediction and result

Watford hosted Middlesbrough in the Championship on Saturday 1 November and won 3–0.

Watford are in mixed form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 3, 3 points from a possible 9. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Coventry City.

Middlesbrough are in strong form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 3, 7 points from a possible 9. They have scored 4 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Wrexham.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 2.65 for Watford, 3.40 for the draw and 2.62 for Middlesbrough. The bookmakers see little between Middlesbrough and Watford here.

Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.62 at Ladbrokes, is shorter than our fair price of 2.63. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.