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Manchester City v Liverpool prediction

Sun 9 Nov, 16:30 Premier League Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester City to win 50%
Man City 50% Draw 23% Liverpool 26%
Best price1.95 Marathonbet Fair price1.99 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester City All games W W L W
1–0 at BRE 2–0 v EVE 0–1 at AVL 3–1 v BOU
Liverpool All games L L W
1–2 v MUN 2–3 at BRE 2–0 v AVL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes64% Both teams scored in 1 of Manchester City's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Liverpool's last 1 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan CityDrawLiverpool
Betfair 1.95 3.90 3.60
Marathonbet 1.95 3.98 3.78
WilliamHill 1.91 3.80 3.50
Ladbrokes 1.91 3.90 3.60
bet365 1.90 3.90 3.70
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester City v Liverpool: prediction and result

Manchester City hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday 9 November and won 3–0.

Manchester City are in strong form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 9 points from a possible 12. They have scored 6 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to AFC Bournemouth.

Liverpool are in mixed form: 1 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 3, 3 points from a possible 9. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Aston Villa.

The best prices across 5 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for Man City, 3.98 for the draw and 3.78 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 50% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 1.95 at Marathonbet, is shorter than our fair price of 1.99. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.