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AFC Wimbledon v Wigan Athletic prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 League One Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Wimbledon to win 36%
AFC Wimbledon 36% Draw 31% Wigan 33%
Best price3.10 bet365 Fair price2.80 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 31%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Wimbledon to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games D W L L
1–1 v PTV 2–1 at PLA 0–1 v BRA 0–5 at PTU
Wigan Athletic All games L W D D
0–1 v WYC 1–0 v PTV 1–1 at MAN 1–1 at EXE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 1 of AFC Wimbledon's last 2 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Wigan Athletic's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawWigan
bet365 3.10 2.90 2.55
WilliamHill 3.00 2.80 2.50
Betfair 2.90 2.80 2.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Wigan Athletic: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Wigan Athletic in the League One on Saturday 22 November, and Wigan Athletic won 1–2 away from home.

AFC Wimbledon are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 4, 4 points from a possible 12. They have scored 3 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–5 defeat away at Peterborough United.

Wigan Athletic are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 5 points from a possible 12. They have scored 3 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Exeter City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for AFC Wimbledon, 2.90 for the draw and 2.55 for Wigan. The bookmakers see little between Wigan Athletic and the draw here.

Our prediction: AFC Wimbledon to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 31% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 3.10 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.80, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.