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Barnsley v Luton Town prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 15:00 League One Full time 5–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Luton Town to win 42%
Barnsley 33% Draw 26% Luton 42%
Best price2.20 WilliamHill Fair price2.41 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barnsley All games D L W
2–2 at BDC 0–1 v RTU 2–1 at DNR
Luton Town All games L W W D
0–2 v MAN 1–0 at NHT 3–0 at STO 0–0 v RTU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 0 of Barnsley's last 1 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Luton Town's last 2 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarnsleyDrawLuton
WilliamHill 3.00 3.40 2.20
bet365 3.00 3.50 2.20
Betfair 2.90 3.50 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barnsley v Luton Town: prediction and result

Barnsley hosted Luton Town in the League One on Saturday 22 November and won 5–0.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 3, 4 points from a possible 9. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Doncaster Rovers.

Luton Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 4, 7 points from a possible 12. They have scored 4 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Rotherham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Barnsley, 3.50 for the draw and 2.20 for Luton. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.41. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.