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Gillingham v Barnet prediction

Sat 22 Nov, 12:30 League Two Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Barnet to win 45%
Gillingham 28% Draw 27% Barnet 45%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.23 from our 45%

How we got to 45%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarnet to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Gillingham All games D L L W D
1–1 v CTT 0–1 at GBT 1–2 v SAL 1–0 at BRR 2–2 v CRT
Barnet All games W L D D D
2–0 at TRR 0–1 v NOT 2–2 at BRW 2–2 v MKD 0–0 at CMU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Gillingham's last 3 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Barnet's last 3 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerGillinghamDrawBarnet
bet365 3.50 3.50 2.00
WilliamHill 3.40 3.30 2.05
Betfair 3.25 3.25 1.95
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Gillingham v Barnet: prediction and result

Gillingham hosted Barnet in the League Two on Saturday 22 November, and it finished 1–1.

Gillingham are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Crawley Town.

Barnet are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Cambridge United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.50 for Gillingham, 3.50 for the draw and 2.05 for Barnet. The bookmakers make Barnet favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barnet to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.23. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.